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Metal Gear Solid 4 (PS3)
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argon posted on Metal Gear Solid 4 (PS3) at 4:27PM PST on July 19, 2007.Pillas is right, the current stock price makes no sense. MGS2 sold ~2.8 million and MGS3 sold ~3 million.[ Elite ] [ Level 20 ] [ Rank: 57 ]Permalink | Reply5 bids
Joe80 posted on Metal Gear Solid 4 (PS3) at 8:58PM PST on July 17, 2007. RE: Kojima Demos Real Time Gameplay for the 1st Time2 bids
@jameseyryan,
Exactly, hence my prediction of 3.5-4 million total sales over it's lifetime.
[ Oracle ] [ Level 20 ] [ Rank: 11 ]2 bids
@pilias_simber,
yes and thats 60M over it's lifetime of anything up to 5-7 years. This game is being introduced into an install base of no more than 10-12M. Unless it's one of those games that just keeps selling for years it will not get near 5M.
[ Elite ] [ Level 20 ] [ Rank: 12 ]1 bids
@judge_khan,
With the 60 Million Figure for the PS3 (which IMO is also overvalued), the attach rate would make this game sell 3.5 million units total.
[ Oracle ] [ Level 20 ] [ Rank: 11 ]1 bids
@kspraydad,
I meant based on the comments from people what the price SHOULD be at, sorry if that wasn't clear.
[ Oracle ] [ Level 20 ] [ Rank: 11 ]3 bids
@jameseyryan,
I agree with the 100DKP drop. I think 3.5M to 4M is a more sustainable level.
With all the hype of this being the last in the series, some of the old fans who skipped MGS3 might fly back to the nest, so to speak.
But as I've said in my previous comment, the attach rate of the most successful MGS is only 6%.
And given the current state of PS3 sales, it will need almost a miracle to meet the 5M target we are current predicting.
[ Elite ] [ Level 18 ] [ Rank: 31 ]3 bids
@kspraydad,
The "general consensus" should be the DKP price but there's always going to be that element of inaccuracy when people join and buy a game's stocks just because they like the game and not because they think it wll sell good. This leads to plenty of games being overvalued just because of their name or brand. By the time MGS4 is released, it will need an attach rate of over 50% if it wants to meet the 5M we're predicting here. I'm sorry if i sound like a jackass here but a 100DKP drop is the consensus among those who have thought this through.
[ Elite ] [ Level 20 ] [ Rank: 12 ]1 bids
@pilias_simber,
Would the 'general consensus' not be the DKP price?
[ Oracle ] [ Level 19 ] [ Rank: 18 ]2 bids
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