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No end to current hardware cycle - analyst
No end to current hardware cycle - analyst
GamesIndustry - May 28, 2009
Submitted by welshbloke (27) at 4:45AM PST on May 28, 2009
With the current cycle in its third or fourth year, Greenwald suggests that fears of a decline in hardware and software sales are unwarranted and that E3 itself will "provide some signs that the industry is alive and well".
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ixaarii posted on Industry News at 2:02AM PST on May 29, 2009. RE: No end to current hardware cycle - analyst@welshbloke,
i'm very curious about that. on one hand i'm all into content/art but on the other had before moving into the graphics creation field i used to dabble in the technical side of graphics so i happen to also be keenly aware of things missing in game visuals for example on the path to photorealism...
so i'm quite split: on one hand i totally support a lengthy cycle and i believe it's the key to gaming becoming truly mainstream but on the other hand I imagine a point in the future where 5x or 10x times more powerful hardware will become relatively cheaply available for manufacturers and we all know games WILL eat any processing power you throw at them and come up with ingenious ways to use it...
The solution to this paradox I see in games becoming mainstream: i see a lot of room left for improvement in EVERYBODY getting access to a powerful gaming platform. Maybe we are indeed closer to the point where games could trully branch off: same game, same content, but differnt levels of quality... but this mental hypothesis always breaks off in my imagination: it's hard for me to imagine that once the hardware becomes able to do for example true breaking materials or fluids one developer or another won't be tempted to make a game that hinges strongly on say your bullets used to break off doors realistically or just the "splashing" of large quantities of fluids...
that being said though... with this and set top boxes I'm strongly hoping for gaming to emerge as a platform as accessible to anybody as turning on the TV and switching between the racing and the fps channels
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welshbloke posted on Industry News at 4:47AM PST on May 28, 2009. RE: No end to current hardware cycle - analystI happen to believe that this cycle will indeed last longer improvements in technology and delivery are definately some of the reasons I believe that.
Extract from the Article which rung true for me.
"We think it's highly premature to be thinking of the cycle ending until all of these consoles are well below the USD 199 mark," says Greenwald. "Furthermore, Microsoft and Sony have invested so much in their current hardware line, as have third party publishers, that we don't think any party is seriously interested in throwing away these investments and starting over from scratch."
"For all of these reasons, we think this cycle will last longer than those in the past, and don't see new hardware coming until 2011 at the earliest, and 2012 to 2013 more likely (if at all – if new services like OnLive take off, or if Xbox Live and PlayStation Network become more and more robust, there may not be a need for another console cycle)."
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welshbloke posted on Industry News at 4:45AM PST on May 28, 2009. Article: No end to current hardware cycle - analyst
About Us - The simExchange is the video game stock market and the source for video game sales forecasts.
But for me the killer will be when the TV set top boxes have a 360 inside. I say the 360 but equally the PS3 although I think its price still precludes it at the moment.
I am particularly excited to see if anything comes about from the BT Vision arrangement.